8 research outputs found
A hybrid neuro--wavelet predictor for QoS control and stability
For distributed systems to properly react to peaks of requests, their
adaptation activities would benefit from the estimation of the amount of
requests. This paper proposes a solution to produce a short-term forecast based
on data characterising user behaviour of online services. We use \emph{wavelet
analysis}, providing compression and denoising on the observed time series of
the amount of past user requests; and a \emph{recurrent neural network} trained
with observed data and designed so as to provide well-timed estimations of
future requests. The said ensemble has the ability to predict the amount of
future user requests with a root mean squared error below 0.06\%. Thanks to
prediction, advance resource provision can be performed for the duration of a
request peak and for just the right amount of resources, hence avoiding
over-provisioning and associated costs. Moreover, reliable provision lets users
enjoy a level of availability of services unaffected by load variations
The environmental Kuznets curve in a world of irreversibility
Overlapping generations model, Irreversible pollution, Poverty trap, Environmental Kuznets curve, Q56, D62, D91,